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Basic Question 0 of 12

If we use an AR (1) model to specify a time series (quarterly data), the correct equation that includes a seasonal lag is:

A. xt = b0 + b1 xt-1 + εt.
B. xt = b0 + b1 xt-1 + b2 xt-4 + εt.
C. xt = b0 + b1 xt-1 + b2 xt-4.

User Contributed Comments 1

User Comment
akirchner1 'Quarterly' is key here which is why t-4 is used. Can't forget the error term though.
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I passed! I did not get a chance to tell you before the exam - but your site was excellent. I will definitely take it next year for Level II.
Tamara Schultz

Tamara Schultz

Learning Outcome Statements

calculate and interpret different approaches to return measurement over time and describe their appropriate uses;

CFA® 2025 Level I Curriculum, Volume 1, Module 1.