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Basic Question 4 of 8

Assume a time series model has ARCH (1) errors. The variance of the errors in period t + 1 is modeled as σt+12 = 5.2 + 0.35 σt2. If the variance of the errors in one period is 2, the predicted variance of the error in the next period should be ______.

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I just wanted to share the good news that I passed CFA Level I!!! Thank you for your help - I think the online question bank helped cut the clutter and made a positive difference.
Edward Liu

Edward Liu

Learning Outcome Statements

explain autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and describe how ARCH models can be applied to predict the variance of a time series;

CFA® 2025 Level II Curriculum, Volume 1, Module 5.